Oil
and Energy Sites
This
section contains many links that discuss the depletion of oil reserves and
the coming crisis to our industrialized civilization.
Oil Depletion Resource Links
M. King
Hubbert was a geologist and long time employee of Shell Oil, who addressed
the issue of oil depletion. He was one of the first to clearly articulate the depletion
problem. In 1956 he predicted the date (around 1970) when the US oil
production in the lower 48 states would peak and would then begin what has now been
a 30 year decline in oil production. He has been immortalized in the famous
“Hubbert’s Peak” a mathematical curve describing this peak and decline.
Versions of that curve have been used to predict depletion for other
countries and the world. Two of the referenced Web sites include his name in
their labels. In 2001, a book was published with the title “Hubbert’s
Peak - The Impending World Oil Shortage” written by another geologist
Kenneth S. Deffeyes, Princton University Press
2001.
The
first of the two sites is the M. King Hubbert
Center for Petroleum Supply Studies, whose mission is “To Assemble,
study, and disseminate global petroleum supply data”.
This organization is located at the Colorado School of Minds. Its Web
site URL is
http://hubbert.mines.edu/
An
important part of this site is the Hubbert Center Newsletters, which can be
accessed in PDF format. Craig
W. Van Kirk L. F. Ivanhoe, a well known geologist, is Hubbert Center
Coordinator. Of particular importance is newsletter
written by Colin Campbell, one of the leading figures in the field of oil
deletion. This introductory paper summarizes the depletion situation in a few
pages. Colin Campbell is also associated with the Oil Depletion Analysis
Centre ("ODAC") in London and a network of European institutions
and universities, known as the Association for the Study of Peak Oil ("ASPO")
http://hubbert.mines.edu/news/Campbell_02-3.pdf
The
second site is named Hubberts Peak. This is a more extensive site than the M.
King Hubbert Center for Petroleum Supply Studies. It includes articles from
and information about the “experts” who address the issue of depletion.
These experts have decades of experience and their work is impressive and
accurate.
http://www.hubbertpeak.com/.
The
site includes an archive of the "ASPO-ODAC" Newsletter of the
Association for the Study of Peak Oil & The Oil Depletion Analysis Centre.
ASPO is a network of
European institutions and universities with an interest in determining the
date and impact of the peak and decline of world oil production, due to
resource constraints. It presently has members in: Austria, Germany, Ireland,
Norway, Portugal, Sweden and the United Kingdom. ODAC is a charitable organization in London that is
dedicated to researching the subject and raising awareness of the serious
consequences whose mission is:
1.
To evaluate
the world's endowment of oil and gas;
2.
To model
depletion, taking due account of economics, technology and politics;
3.
To raise
awareness of the serious consequences for Mankind.
The
ASPO newsletters can be accessed at
http://www.hubbertpeak.com/aspo/.
Sometimes
this site does not include the latest newsletters. Another site which also
contains the newsletters, including their latest copies is:
http://www.energiekrise.de/e/
(press
ASPONews icon).
One of
the most important papers on the Hubbert’s Peak site is Dr. Richard C.
Duncan’s “Road to the Olduvai Gorge.” It can be downloaded in a pdf
format from:
http://www.hubbertpeak.com/duncan/road2olduvai.pdf
A third
non academic site is provided by Matthew Simmons, an investment banker
managing a 130 person firm who has written extensively on oil depletion from
an investor standpoint. His web site contains many insightful papers on
energy which can be accessed at
http://www.simmonscointl.com/domino/html/research.nsf/$$ViewTemplate+For+msspeeches?openform
Simmons
papers and speeches are also found on other web sites. His energy white paper
written in October 2000 on the implications of the famous Club of Rome book,
“The Limits of Growth", points out how accurate the predictions of this
seminal work actually were. It can be found at:
http://greatchange.org/ov-simmons,club_of_rome_revisted.pdf.
Simmons
presented another important paper at the International Workshop on Oil Depletion in Uppsala, Sweden beginning May
23, 2002.
http://www.hubbertpeak.com/aspo/iwood/simmons_depletion.pdf
Another
important site is the description of the International
Workshop on Oil Depletion. The Web site for the conference with news
paper summaries etc. is:
http://www.isv.uu.se/iwood2002/welcome.html
The
conference proceedings with more details on the papers given are at:
http://www.isv.uu.se/iwood2002/iwood2002procceding.html
The
most important papers available to be downloaded are:
The assessment and
importance of oil depletion - Colin J. Campbell, Ireland
(ODAC)
U.S. Energy Policy Issues-Matt Simmons, Houston, USA
Past oil forecasts, and the "Limits to Growth" message,
Roger W. Bentley, UK
(ODAC)
Most
relevant to small communities is the paper entitled “Ruralization, a possible planning method to avoid impacts from reduced
energy input by Folke Günther, Lund University, Sweden. It can be accessed
at:
http://etnhum.etn.lu.se/%7Efg/lectures/Ruralisation-filer/v3_document.htm
Two
other web sites contain valuable information. Running on Empty summarizes
much of the pertinent information about energy in a useful and terse format.
http://www.runningonempty.org/
The
next site consists mostly of links to other sites and papers. It is very
comprehensive.
http://dieoff.org/page1.htm
The
best yearly summary of energy usage can be found at the oil company BP’s
site (the old British Petroleum. It is published annually -
http://www.bp.com/centres/energy2002/index.asp
Government
Agencies and Organizations:
U. S.
Energy Information Administration
http://www.eia.doe.gov/
The
Annual Energy Review 2001
http://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/aer/contents.html
International
Energy Agency
http://www.iea.org
This is
the site to order the World Energy Outlook 2002.
http://www.worldenergyoutlook.org/weo/pubs/weo2002/weo2002.asp
Office
of Transportation Technology - US Department of Energy
http://www.ott.doe.gov/
Key facts about energy from Office of Transportation Technology
http://www.ott.doe.gov/facts/archives.shtml
Office
of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy
http://www.eren.doe.gov/
Office
of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy-Hydrogen
http://www.eren.doe.gov/hydrogen/faqs.html#cost
Miscellaneous
Sites
Utopian
story of a new world without autos
http://www.living-room.org/sustain/remembering2.htm
Formerly
Auto Free Times - Jan Lundberg
http://www.culturechange.org/
John
MacCarthy - Well known computer scientist on energy
http://www-formal.stanford.edu/jmc/progress/
An
important paper that compares the existing energy status to the predictions
of the Club of Rome is entitled “Oil
Forecasts, Past and Present” by R.W. Bentley, Department of Cybernetics,
The University of Reading. Bentley is chairman of the Oil Depletion Analysis
Centre ODAC) in London. The presentation is under Past
oil forecasts, and the "Limits to Growth" message and can be
downloaded from
http://www.isv.uu.se/iwood2002/iwood2002procceding.html
A
second important Bentley paper on depletion
http://greatchange.org/ov-bentley,global_depletion.pdf
The
Bush Administration’s energy policy is described in detail on this site:
http://www.whitehouse.gov/energy/
Uranium
Information Center - Information on nuclear power.
http://www.uic.com.au/ne1.htm
Books
Important
Books Relative to Energy Futures:
GeoDestinies,
Walter Youngquist, National Book Company, Portland Oregon, 1997, 499p
The Coming Oil Crisis, by CJ Campbell;
Multi-Science Publishing Company & Petroconsultants, 1997 ISBN 0906522110
End of
the Road, Wolfgang Zuckermann, Chelsea Green Publishing Company, 1991, 299p
Papers
available at Community Service Library
A dangerous Addiction, Dec 13 20001 The Economist
If We Really Have the Oil, Sept 2002, Bloomberg Wealth Manager
Beyond Fossil Fuels Sierra Club Magazine, July/August 2002, p 28
The Agrarian Standard, Wendell Berry, Orion,
p 51,
Methane Madness, A Natural Gas Primer, 4/13/01, 5 p
The Peak of World Oil Production and the Road to the Olduvai Gorge,
Richard C Duncan, Pardee Keynote Assumption, 17 p November 13, 2000. KEY
PAPER
The End of Cheap Oil, Scientific American, March 1998 page 78-83
Oil Production Curve - Cause for Concern, December 2001, Australian
Energy news, pg 30
Mining for Oil, Scientific American, March 1998, 84 - Richard L.
George.
Liquid Fuels from Natural Gas, Safaa A. Fouda, Scientific American,
March 1998 p92-
The Assessment and Importance of Oil Depletion, C. J. Campbell,
International Workshop on Oil Depletion, Uppsala University Sweden, May
23-24, 2002. 17 p Excellent - this and Duncan paper the best!!!
The Limits to Growth - Abstract by Edward Perstel, no date or source.
Came from web 8 pages.
M. King Hubbert Center For Petroleum Supply Studies, #2002/3 - Colin
Campbell 10p
BP statistical review of world energy June 2002, 40 pages.
1998 Scientific American March, 86-91 Oil Production in the 21st
century.
Time August 26, 2002 - The Challenges We Face - The Green Century
US in the World, Population Reference
Bureau, unknown source. PDF.
The Death of the Oil Economy, Ted Trainer, Earth Island Journal
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